Fed Chair sees growth, signals pause in rate cuts

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell expects the U.S. economy to continue growing at a solid pace. Powell also said the Fed is likely to keep its benchmark short-term interest rate unchanged in the coming months. (Nov. 13)

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Fed chair: Goal to keep economy in ‘good place’

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says the U.S. economy is facing some risks at the moment, but overall it is in a “good place” and the Fed’s main job is to “keep it there as long as possible.” (Oct. 4)

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Analyst: DC/market pressure put Fed into corner

Stocks mostly rebounded at the close of trading after the Federal Reserve delivered an expected cut in interest rates. Some analysts see the rate cut as the Fed responding to pressures from the Trump administration and equity markets. (Sept. 18)

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Fed Chair Powell says he doesn’t expect recession

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Friday that the Fed is not expecting a U.S. or global recession. But it is monitoring a number of uncertainties, including trade conflicts, and will “act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” (Sept. 6)

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Markets trade lower after Fed rate cut

The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate Wednesday for the first time in a decade to try to counter economic threats. The Dow closed down more than 300 points. (July 31)

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Keiser Report: China in the Gold Buying Spree (E1371)

In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the significance of the Chinese central bank openly reporting that they are buying gold. They also discuss bitcoin prices reacting immediately to the release of Fed minutes indicating concern for ‘financial instability.’ In the second half, Max interviews author, financial commentator, and comedian Dominic Frisby of DominicFrisby.com about the latest on bitcoin and gold markets. Regarding gold, they ask whether or not the record gold buying from central banks will ever impact prices.

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Keiser Report: Chlorinated chicken? Eugh! (E1356)

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In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the post-Brexit reality: chlorinated chicken for all! As the UK braces for hormone laden beef and chlorinated chicken products, Max and Stacy wonder if this isn’t a good metaphor for the monetary system which has been injected with the growth hormone of Quantitative Easing that the Fed’s balance sheet is as massive as a franken-chicken is today. In the second half, Max interviews Mish Shedlock of MishTalk.com about the latest economic data out of America and whether or not the lofty stock market valuations are warranted.

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KeiserReport: NOPEC, at long last? (E1348)

In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the latest attempts at NOPEC as the House Judiciary Committee passes a bill that would allow the US Justice Department to sue members of OPEC for manipulating the oil market. This sort of legislation has been tried many times in the past, but could hatred for Trump finally drive the nail in the cartel coffin? In the second half, Max interviews Mitch Feierstein of PlanetPonzi.com about the Fed admitting that quantitative easing is a permanent policy tool and not just for “emergencies.” With this permanent QE context in mind, they discuss the meaning of central banks buying the most gold in half a century and what sort of monetary situation may be in store for the near future? They also look at Italy’s debt and the new government’s plans to ‘seize’ the Central Bank of Italy’s gold horde.

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Keiser Report: US Riskier Than China? (E1329)

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In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss markets concluding that the US is riskier than China as the Treasury must pay a premium over Chinese bonds to attract investors, at least on one year paper. Trump becomes, therefore, the first president to preside over the US becoming less creditworthy than its number one rival – China. In the second half, Max interviews Karl Denninger of Market-Ticker.org about the markets in 2019 – can the Fed put lipstick on the market pig? They also discuss tech stocks, US Treasuries, the US dollar and more.

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Keiser Report: Tapering a Ponzi (E1322)

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In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the ‘worst December since the Great Depression’ for financial markets. And as the Fed raises interest rates against the back drop of market decline, for how much longer can the taper the global ponzi? In the second half, Max interviews Mitch Feierstein of PlanetPonzi.com about why the Fed raised rates and how soon they will have to cut them once again. And will 2019 bring more quantitative easing as the market sell off continues?

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https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K302vF9LY8cZJ4_VJB8P347 (E1001 – E1200)
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AP Top Stories December 19 P

(19 Dec 2018) Here are the top stories for Wednesday, Dec. 19th: Trump plans to withdraw all U.S. troops in Syria; Stocks plunge after Fed raises interest rates; Ryan bemoans U.S. politics in farewell speech; Yemeni mother overcomes travel ban to see dying son.

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Keiser Report: A Looming Hot War for the Internet Age (E1319)

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In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the latest twist to the US-China trade war: tit for tat kidnappings. Donald Trump openly claims he will release the CEO of Huawei, currently being detained in Canada on an American arrest warrant, should China make concessions on tariffs. But what is the escalation really about? One opinion piece in the NY Times suggests this is really about controlling the resource of our modern age: data and the internet on which it is collected. In the second half, Max interviews Mish Shedlock of MishTalk.com about whether or not the Fed is a graver threat to the US than the Federal Reserve Bank, as Donald Trump insists. They also discuss the Red Queen syndrome in Japan where the Bank of Japan needs to print more and more money and buy more and more assets just to stay in the same place.

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http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K2ZtV_1KphSugBB7iZqbFyz (E401-E600)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K1GpAv3ZKpNFoEvKaY2QFH_ (E601-E800)
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K19wt4CP0tUgzIxpJDiQDyl (E801-E1000)
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K302vF9LY8cZJ4_VJB8P347 (E1001 – E1200)
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US Fed chief paints favorable economic outlook

(28 Nov 2018) Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell cast a bright picture of the U.S. economy Wednesday and appeared to suggest that the Fed might consider a pause in its interest rate hikes next year to assess the impact of its credit tightening. (Nov. 28)

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Gary Shilling Warns Fed Tightening Could Trigger A Recession

Dr. Gary Shilling says there is nothing on the immediate horizon that would trigger a correction but he warns that Fed tightening has caused a recession 11 out of 12 times in the post World War period.

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#GaryShilling #Recession

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Gary Shilling Warns Fed Tightening Could Trigger A Recession

IMF chief defends rate hikes after Trump slams ‘crazy’ Fed

IMF chief Christine Lagarde defends central bank rate hikes, calling them a “necessary development”, after markets plunged in response to US president Donald Trump blasting the Fed for going “crazy” with plans to raise borrowing costs again. SOUNDBITE

Keiser Report: Rise of the Zombies (E1287)

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In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss the kept alive on ‘free’ money leading to zombie corporations surviving on pension funds desperately resisting zombification and a work force kept alive with helpful injections of Narcan to revive from overdose. In the second half, Max interviews Mitch Feierstein of PlanetPonzi.com about tapering the ponzi, the rise of zombie corporations and their corpse like debt and whether or not the Fed will start buying stocks in the event of another crash.

WATCH all Keiser Report shows here:
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL768A33676917AE90 (E1-E200)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLC3F29DDAA1BABFCF (E201-E400)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K2ZtV_1KphSugBB7iZqbFyz (E401-E600)
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https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K302vF9LY8cZJ4_VJB8P347 (E1001 – E1200)
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AP Top Stories Sept. 26 P

(26 Sep 2018) Here’s the latest for Wednesday, Sept. 26: Trump’s open to changing mind on Kavanagh, Third Kavanaugh accuser submits allegation to Senate panel, Fed raises rates for 3rd time this year, and World’s first hydrogen commuter train in Germany.

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What People Get Wrong About The Market’s Favorite Recession Signal

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted. Kelly calls the inverted yield curve a broken barometer that can no longer be trusted to predict economic trouble. He goes on to explain how an inverted yield curve can create income for consumers.

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Following is a transcript of the video:

Sara Silverstein: What’s your outlook for the Fed?

David Kelly: I think the Fed will keep on tightening. I mean, the economy’s doing very well. We’ve met all their targets in terms of growth, in terms of unemployment, in terms of inflation. I think they are worried, frankly, about all this fiscal stimulus. We’re at full employment. You don’t normally put this much stimulus into an economy at full employment. It’s kind of like bringing an extra keg to a frat party at 2 a.m. It’s going to make the party louder but it’ll make the hangover worse. So they’ve got to counteract this fiscal stimulus. I think that’s what they’re going to do. So I think another four rate hikes in September, December, March, and June, that’ll bring us up to two and three-quarters to 3% on the federal funds rate. I think and I hope they’ll stop there, because you’re talking about risks. The other risk to the economy is the Fed overtightens the rate. Just as the economy slows down in the second half of next year — and we think it will — if they raise rates too much at that point, that could cause problems.

Silverstein: And what will the yield curve look like a year from now after they raise rates?

Kelly: If they stop at four, I think it’ll be almost exactly flat. In other words, I think the yield on a two-year treasury note will be the same as the yield on a 10-year bond. If they go more than four rate hikes, I think it might get inverted, but — people worry too much about an inverted yield curve. It is a broken barometer. It used to be the yield curve was a very good predictor of what the economy was going to do, because why would you buy a long-term bond with a lower yield than a short-term bond? It’s because you think the Fed’s going to cut rates. Why’s the Fed going to cut rates? Because the economy’s in trouble. But you can’t trust the long end any more.

Silverstein: Why?

Kelly: Well, because central banks have been buying long-term bonds like never before, and they’re basically sitting at the long end of the yield curve, and that’s distorting it. It’s kind of like, I don’t believe in torture, because torture is immoral, but also, a tortured prisoner is going to lie to you. The yield curve is being tortured by central banks, and is going to tell us lies. Now, it doesn’t mean there couldn’t be problems in the future, but we’re going to need a better measure of what’s going on than the yield curve.

Silverstein: And how does an inverted yield curve affect consumers or borrowers?

Kelly: That’s a funny thing. It is a symptom without being a disease. Because, as I said, an inverted yield curve has usually been a problem, or has suggested a problem is coming, because it means the Fed’s worried about something. But if you think about it, American households have got about three dollars in financial, interest-bearing assets for every one dollar they have in debt. And most of those interest-bearing assets are short-term, things like CDs, and most of that data are long-term, things like mortgages, so if you got an inverted yield curve if short rates go up more than long rates, guess what, you’re giving more income to consumers, and you’re not pushing up their expenses. It actually stimulates the economy. And that’s one of the funny things, people worry about it, but it’s harmless as of itself, and if it doesn’t work as a barometer of where the economy is going, there are lots of things to worry about, think about. I wouldn’t worry too much about the yield curve.

AP Top Stories June 13 P

Here’s the latest for Wednesday, July 13th: President Donald Trump declares there is “no longer a nuclear threat from North Korea”; Trump backs a House GOP immigration bill; Michael Cohen seeks new legal team; the Fed raises interest rates. (June 13)

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Keiser Report: Emerging Market Currencies (E1229)

Check Keiser Report website for more: http://www.maxkeiser.com/

In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss all heck breaking loose in emerging market currencies as the Fed tries to taper a ponzi and a parallel currency being proposed for Italy’s ruined economy. In the second half, Max interviews Marshall Long of EOS.fish about bitcoin mining, from the claims of environmental catastrophes to the assertions that miners are losing money at current bitcoin prices. They also discuss EOS and why it’s better than Ethereum.

WATCH all Keiser Report shows here:
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL768A33676917AE90 (E1-E200)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLC3F29DDAA1BABFCF (E201-E400)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K2ZtV_1KphSugBB7iZqbFyz (E401-E600)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K1GpAv3ZKpNFoEvKaY2QFH_ (E601-E800)
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K19wt4CP0tUgzIxpJDiQDyl (E801-E1000)
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLPszygYHA9K302vF9LY8cZJ4_VJB8P347 (E1001 – E1200)
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